Premier League predictions
Data-driven Premier League predictions for every upcoming fixture. Lytic's model estimates each team's expected goals, runs them through a Poisson distribution blended with machine learning, and compares the result against the sharpest market price to flag positive expected value. The most heavily traded football market on earth — deep liquidity, fast-moving lines, and constant model recalibration.
Below you'll find every upcoming fixture. Open any match to get Lytic's full model prediction — win, draw and over/under probabilities, the edge signal and a Kelly-sized stake — free for 14 days. This is an analytical tool — no winnings are guaranteed.
Upcoming fixtures
10 fixturesArsenal vs Coventry City
Fri, Aug 21, 07:00 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Hull City vs Manchester United
Sat, Aug 22, 11:30 AM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Everton vs Crystal Palace
Sat, Aug 22, 02:00 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Ipswich Town vs Sunderland
Sat, Aug 22, 02:00 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
Sat, Aug 22, 02:00 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur
Sat, Aug 22, 04:30 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa
Sun, Aug 23, 01:00 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Manchester City vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 01:00 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Newcastle United vs Liverpool
Sun, Aug 23, 03:30 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →Fulham vs Chelsea
Mon, Aug 24, 07:00 PM
Win/draw/away probabilities, the edge signal & Kelly stake — in the appView prediction →
Fixtures are free to browse. Lytic's full prediction — the exact edge, value selection and Kelly stake on every Premier League fixture — unlocks with a free trial.
Start free trial →How Lytic models the Premier League
Premier League averages roughly 2.7 goals per match, and that scoring profile shapes where the model looks hardest for value. Rather than predicting a single scoreline, Lytic produces a full probability distribution over every result and total, then asks one question on each fixture: is any bookmaker offering odds that beat the model's fair price? When the answer is yes, that fixture carries positive expected value — and Lytic surfaces it, with the exact edge and Kelly stake, inside the app.
The reference for "fair price" is Pinnacle's no-vig line — the sharpest widely-available probability estimate in football. Beating that line consistently is the definition of a genuine edge, and it is measured on every bet you log through Closing Line Value (CLV).
Premier League predictions — FAQ
How are Premier League predictions calculated?
Lytic models each Premier League fixture from the ground up: recent form and expected-goals (xG) data give each team an attack and defence rating, which feed a Poisson distribution (with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction) to produce win, draw and over/under probabilities. A machine-learning layer then refines the output. Finally the model's probability is compared to the sharpest market price (Pinnacle's no-vig line) — the model only signals value on a fixture when the best available odds beat its fair price.
Are these Premier League predictions free?
The upcoming Premier League fixtures are listed here for free. Lytic's full prediction for each match — win/draw/away probabilities, the value selection and a recommended Kelly stake — is part of the analytics, available on a 14-day free trial with no credit card required.
How often are Premier League predictions updated?
Fixtures and odds refresh continuously. England's schedule and team news move the model's numbers right up to kick-off, which is exactly why the precise edge is shown live inside the app rather than frozen on a static page.
Can I make guaranteed profit from Premier League predictions?
No. Lytic is an analytical tool, not a tipping service, and no winnings are guaranteed. Acting only on positive-expected-value situations can improve results over a large sample — it cannot make any single Premier League prediction certain. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. 18+ — gamble responsibly.
Predictions for other leagues
Get the exact Premier League edge — free for 14 days
Unlock the precise EV percentage, the value selection and a Kelly-sized stake on every Premier League fixture, plus a real-time scanner across 20+ competitions and CLV tracking to prove your edge. No credit card required.
Start free — 14 days →18+ · Analytical tool · No winnings guaranteed