Data-driven Bundesliga predictions for every upcoming fixture. Lytic's model estimates each team's expected goals, runs them through a Poisson distribution uses machine-learning blending only after out-of-sample quality gates pass, and compares the result against the sharpest market price to flag positive expected value. Germany's high-tempo, high-scoring league — one of the most attractive markets for over/under analysis.
Below you'll find every upcoming fixture. Open any match to get Lytic's full model prediction — win, draw and over/under probabilities, the edge signal and a Kelly-sized stake — free for 14 days. This is an analytical tool — no winnings are guaranteed.
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
Fri, Sep 11, 06:30 PM
Augsburg Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Sep 12, 01:30 PM
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn
Sat, Sep 12, 01:30 PM
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 12, 01:30 PM
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12, 01:30 PM
TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Sat, Sep 12, 01:30 PM
1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen
Sat, Sep 12, 04:30 PM
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 13, 01:30 PM
Elversberg vs Bayern Munich
Sun, Sep 13, 03:30 PM
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
Fri, Sep 18, 06:30 PM
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln
Sat, Sep 19, 01:30 PM
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
Sat, Sep 19, 01:30 PM
Borussia Monchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
Sat, Sep 19, 01:30 PM
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
Sat, Sep 19, 01:30 PM
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
Sat, Sep 19, 04:30 PM
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
Sun, Sep 20, 01:30 PM
FC Schalke 04 vs Elversberg
Sun, Sep 20, 03:30 PM
SC Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim
Sun, Sep 20, 05:30 PM
Fixtures are free to browse. Lytic's full prediction — the exact edge, value selection and Kelly stake on every Bundesliga fixture — unlocks with a free trial.
Start free trial →Bundesliga averages roughly 2.9 goals per match, and that scoring profile shapes where the model looks hardest for value. Rather than predicting a single scoreline, Lytic produces a full probability distribution over every result and total, then asks one question on each fixture: is any bookmaker offering odds that beat the model's fair price? When the answer is yes, that fixture carries positive expected value — and Lytic surfaces it, with the exact edge and Kelly stake, inside the app.
The reference for "fair price" is Pinnacle's no-vig line — the sharpest widely-available probability estimate in football. Beating that line consistently is the definition of a genuine edge, and it is measured on every bet you log through Closing Line Value (CLV).
Lytic models each Bundesliga fixture from the ground up: recent form and expected-goals (xG) data give each team an attack and defence rating, which feed a Poisson distribution (with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction) to produce win, draw and over/under probabilities. A machine-learning layer then refines the output. Finally the model's probability is compared to the sharpest market price (Pinnacle's no-vig line) — the model only signals value on a fixture when the best available odds beat its fair price.
The upcoming Bundesliga fixtures are listed here for free. Lytic's full prediction for each match — win/draw/away probabilities, the value selection and a recommended Kelly stake — is part of the analytics, available on a 14-day free trial with no credit card required.
Fixtures and odds refresh continuously. Germany's schedule and team news move the model's numbers right up to kick-off, which is exactly why the precise edge is shown live inside the app rather than frozen on a static page.
No. Lytic is an analytical tool, not a tipping service, and no winnings are guaranteed. Acting only on positive-expected-value situations can improve results over a large sample — it cannot make any single Bundesliga prediction certain. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. 18+ — gamble responsibly.
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